Commercial Real Estate Bright Spot in National Economy
June 29, 2006 on 2:37 pm | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, Investment Opportunities, OFFICE BUILDINGS, Uncategorized | 11 CommentsCommercial Real Estate Bright Spot in National Economy
National Association of Realtors
WASHINGTON, D.C. – Healthy demand for space is driving commercial real estate markets with solid fundamentals and strong investment activity, according to the latest Commercial Real Estate Outlook of the National Association of Realtors®.
David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, said fundamentals are improving with tightening vacancies. “Rent growth in commercial space is gaining traction, although there is some softness in part of the retail sector,” he said. “Commercial real estate remains a bright spot in the economy, but there are concerns over energy costs, rising interest rates and slower-than-expected job growth which could dampen future demand.”
Lereah said investment considerations remain positive. “With tightening vacancies and a slowdown in speculative construction, the office market will offer respectable returns for investors,” he said. “Strong international trade is supporting warehouse and distribution space, especially near port facilities. In addition, demand for rental apartments and hotel rooms is on the rise.”
The NAR forecast for five major commercial sectors includes analysis of quarterly data for various tracked metro areas. The sectors include the office, industrial, retail, multifamily and hospitality markets. Metro data were provided by Torto Wheaton Research and Real Capital Analytics.
Office Market
Rising oil prices and slower job growth have dampened expectations for the office market, but vacancy rates are still likely to drop to an average of 12.7 percent in the fourth quarter from 13.6 percent during the same period in 2005. Office rents are forecast to rise 4.4 percent this year.
Areas with the lowest office vacancies currently include Ventura County, Calif.; New York City; Orange County, Calif.; Fort Lauderdale, Fla.; Riverside, Calif.; and Washington, D.C., all with vacancy rates of 8.8 percent or less.
Net absorption of office space in 56 markets tracked, which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, should be 64.1 million square feet in 2006, down from 89.5 million last year. High construction costs are putting a lid on speculative development.
Large institutional investors and pension funds returned to the office market during the first quarter, more than doubling what they spent on office buildings in all of 2005; total investment in the first quarter was $20.5 billion.
Over the last year, the top markets for office investment were Manhattan, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Northern Virginia and Washington, D.C.
Industrial Market
Industrial vacancy rates are forecast to decline to an average of 9.5 percent during the second half of the year from 9.9 percent in the final quarter of 2005, with new construction increasing along with space absorption. Trade with China continues to fuel demand for warehouse and distribution space. Although market fundamentals appear to be healthy, industrial rents are likely to increase only 1.9 percent in 2006.
The areas with the lowest industrial vacancies are West Palm Beach, Fla.; Los Angeles; Fort Lauderdale; Las Vegas; Miami; and Orange County, Calif., all with vacancy rates of 5.4 percent or less.
Net absorption of industrial space in 54 markets tracked is expected to be 211.0 million square feet this year, down from 290.5 million in 2005. Most of the demand is coming from users and tenants involved with the distribution of goods, but rising industrial production could bolster demand for manufacturing space, which has been lagging in recent years.
Private investment also is occurring in the industrial sector, with transactions totaling $10.5 billion in the first quarter. The top industrial investment markets are Los Angeles; Chicago; Dallas; San Diego; San Jose, Calif.; and Northern New Jersey. Some older properties in urban areas are being converted to other commercial uses.
Retail Market
With absorption matching new supply, retail vacancy rates are projected to be fairly stable for the balance of the year, at an average of 7.6 percent in the fourth quarter, but higher than the 7.2 percent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2005.
Higher energy costs and slowing home price appreciation will hold back consumer spending, impacting the retail sector. Overbuilding and fallout from mergers and acquisitions have impacted certain markets, including regional shopping centers. Average rent is seen to grow 0.7 percent in 2006.
Retail markets with the lowest vacancies include Las Vegas; Miami; Orange County, Calif.; San Francisco; San Jose; and San Diego, all with vacancies of 3.9 percent or less.
Net absorption of retail space in 54 tracked markets should be 14.1 million square feet in 2006, down from 30.2 million last year.
Investment in retail space is cooling with just $7.4 billion spent in the first quarter, dominated by private investors; strip centers accounted for almost three-fourths of retail investment activity. The top markets for retail investment include Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Dallas, Phoenix, and Northern Virginia.
Multifamily Market
The apartment rental market – multifamily housing – is expecting vacancy rates in the fourth quarter to average 5.7 percent compared with 6.2 percent during the same period in 2005. Average rent is forecast to rise 4.1 percent this year compared with 2.9 percent in 2005.
Conversion of apartments into condos is waning, but a slight softening in the housing market is boosting rental demand. Concerns about sustainable job growth and job security are playing a role by keeping some people in the rental marketplace.
Total investment in multifamily property was $24.0 billion during the first quarter, up 30 percent from the first quarter of 2005; seven out of ten transactions were garden-style apartment complexes. Condo converters accounted for less than 15 percent of transactions, taking a little over 30,000 units from the rental market.
The top markets for apartment investment over the last year were Manhattan, Phoenix, Los Angeles, Tampa, Orlando and Atlanta.
The areas with the lowest apartment vacancies currently include Fort Lauderdale, Northern New Jersey, Washington, West Palm Beach, Miami and Tampa, all with vacancy rates of 2.5 percent or less.
Multifamily net absorption is likely to be 256,500 units in 59 tracked metro areas this year, compared with 351,000 absorbed in 2005.
Hospitality Market
With rising construction activity, hotel occupancies are forecast at 63.4 percent in 2006 compared with 64.5 percent last year, and revenue per available room (RevPAR) is projected to grow to $72.37 in 2006, up 7.5 percent from $70.47 last year. An additional 17,500 hotel rooms should be added to the inventory in 52 markets tracked in 2006, up from only 5,600 last year.
Markets with the highest RevPAR include New York City, Washington, Honolulu, West Palm Beach, San Francisco and Miami, with RevPAR in excess of $103, in contrast with the national average of $80 expected for the first quarter, which is the highest ever.
Hospitality markets with the highest level of construction include Houston, Orlando, Fort Worth, Washington, Atlanta and San Diego. Overall transaction activity during the first quarter totaled 660 hotels with a combined value of $23 billion; 2006 is expected to be a record for the number of properties changing hands.
UPDATE ON COMMERCIAL FIXED RATE LENDING
June 26, 2006 on 2:13 pm | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, FUNNY...MONEY, LENDERS + VENDORS, Uncategorized | 6 CommentsUPDATE ON COMMERCIAL FIXED RATE LENDING THE KEY ISSUES IN CHOOSING A FIXED RATE LOAN ARE:1. Rate
1. Rate2. Prepayment Penalty
3. Is Recourse (Guaranty) Required
THE TWO MAIN TYPES OF FIXED RATE LENDERS ARE:1. Wall Street conduits / Insurance companies
1. Wall Street conduits / Insurance companies2. Banks
Below is a summary of the terms and conditions offered by these kinds of lenders, and emerging trends among them. These are general parameters – better quality properties and low loan to value will receive better terms than these.
WALL STREET CONDUITS / INSURANCE COMPANIES LOAN AMOUNTS$ 2 million and above for A and B quality properties
$ 2 million and above for A and B quality propertiesPROPERTY TYPESRetail, industrial, office, multi-family, hotels
Retail, industrial, office, multi-family, hotelsLOAN TO VALUEConduits 70% - 80%, Insurance cos. 60% - 70%
Conduits 70% - 80%, Insurance cos. 60% - 70%RATES5 Year Fixed - 5 year Treas.+ 1.65% to 2.25%, or 6.62% to 7.22% today
5 Year Fixed - 5 year Treas.+ 1.65% to 2.25%, or 6.62% to 7.22% today
Rates for multi-family are lower.
AMORTIZATIONConduits - 30 years ( Some will go up to 10 years interest only)
Conduits - 30 years ( Some will go up to 10 years interest only)Insurance companies - 20 to 25 years
FEESConduits charge no points, Insurance co. correspondents - .5% to .75%
Conduits charge no points, Insurance co. correspondents - .5% to .75%PREPAYMENTDefeasance or Yield Maintenance
Defeasance or Yield MaintenancePERS. GUARANTYNone, except for standard carve outs such as fraud
None, except for standard carve outs such as fraudEMERGING TRENDS· These lenders offer the best rates but have less flexible prepayment penalties.
· These lenders offer the best rates but have less flexible prepayment penalties.· Some of them are willing to do smaller loans of $ 1 - $ 4 million in which they put a limit on third party reports and legal fees at approx. $13,000.
· They can do forward commitments in which they lock the rate up to 12 months in advance of the funding date ( forward rate locks).
BANKS LOAN AMOUNTS$ 1 million and above for A,B, and C quality properties
$ 1 million and above for A,B, and C quality propertiesPROPERTY TYPESRetail, industrial, office, multi-family, special purpose
Retail, industrial, office, multi-family, special purposeLOAN TO VALUE65% - 75%
65% - 75%RATES5 Year Fixed - 5 year Treas.+ 1.65% to 2.25%, or 6.62% to 7.22% today
5 Year Fixed - 5 year Treas.+ 1.65% to 2.25%, or 6.62% to 7.22% today10 Year Fixed - 10 year Treas.+ 1.65% to 2.25%, or 6.70% to 7.30% today
Rates for multi-family are lower.
AMORTIZATIONMost are 25 years, some are 30 years.
Most are 25 years, some are 30 years.FEESSome banks charge no points, most charge .25% to .5%
Some banks charge no points, most charge .25% to .5%PREPAYMENTStep-down prepayment. Some banks offer prepayment as low as 3,2,1,0 thereafter.
Step-down prepayment. Some banks offer prepayment as low as 3,2,1,0 thereafter.PERS. GUARANTYYes.
Yes.EMERGING TRENDS:· These lenders are increasingly offering better rates- some as low as 1.65% over Treasuries.
· These lenders are increasingly offering better rates- some as low as 1.65% over Treasuries.· Loan costs are much lower – most charge no legal fees.
· Easier to work with.
· Most still require personal guaranties, but some will consider partial (25%-50% of loan amount) guaranties, or no guaranties for loan amounts below 55%
Schwartz Financial is a boutique real estate investment banking company with over 20 years of experience, located in Century City, Los Angeles. We are specialists in arranging real estate loans and joint venture equity. Please see our web site at www.schwartzfinancial.net. SCHWARTZ FINANCIALReal Estate Investment Banking
2029 Century Park East, Ste. 1060, Los Angeles, Ca. 90067
Tel (310) 551-0580 Fax (310) 226-7630
Rare East L.A. Project Site Hits Market
June 14, 2006 on 11:00 am | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, LIGHTS…CAMERA…TRANSACTION, PROPERTY WISH LIST, Uncategorized | 5 Comments| Rare East L.A. Project Site Hits Market |
| LOS ANGELES-MJW Investments has placed its 23-acre, 1.8-million-sf former Sears Distribution Center in Boyle Heights on the market, offering a rare opportunity for developers to acquire a site of such size so close to Downtown. City officials have designated the site of the Downtown L.A. landmark for up to $450 million in redevelopment.
The East Los Angeles site of the 1920s-era Sears distribution center, visible to thousands of drivers passing by on freeways daily, has been designated for development that could include condominiums, apartments and 660,000 sf of stores, offices and restaurant space. The site is mostly vacant except for a Sears retail store and auto center. Mark Weinstein, president and CEO of MJW Investments, says his company has invested $50 million in the project and has created “a blueprint that will facilitate a smooth transition” for whoever buys the property. He adds, “We’ll stay involved to ensure the project’s success.” Several firms have approached Weinstein about buying the property, which was developed by Sears in 1927. A master plan was created for the location after some 40 meetings with community members and city officials. Weinstein is soliciting requests for qualifications from buyers interested in the site, with Richard Rizika and a team at CB Richard Ellis in Torrance handling the sale for MJW. Weinstein’s firm is now focusing on projects that can be completed in one to three years and is expanding outside California to focus on the repositioning of more residential and retail sites, he says. The renovated complex will continue to house a Sears retail store with upper floors turned into condominiums and commercial space. The new owners would be expected to carry out the city’s and the community’s plan to offer “a pedestrian-friendly environment featuring housing, dining, shopping and entertainment,” according to MJW. Reported By Bob Howard of GlobeSt.com |
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REACHING NEW HEIGHTS
June 9, 2006 on 9:27 am | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, FUNNY...MONEY, Investment Opportunities, Uncategorized | 3 CommentsCOMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REACHING NEW HEIGHTS
The healthy economy is creating a strong demand for commercial and industrial space, and institutional investors are returning to the market, according to the latest commercial market update and forecast from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, has declared that the market fundamentals are improving.
“Commercial real estate vacancy rates are falling and rents are rising as the economy expands and jobs are created,” he said. “Growth in the Gross Domestic Product is fairly strong and consumer spending remains healthy. Business spending is on the rebound, and the completion of new commercial buildings has shown positive growth over the last two years.”
Capital continues to flow into commercial real estate at strong levels, and delinquencies are minimal. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, commercial mortgage originations totaled $201.7 billion in 2005, which is a 48.2 percent increase over 2004. Much of the funds, 35.8 percent, flowed into the multi-family sector; office real estate, 24.1 percent; retail, 16.5 percent; industrial, 7.4 percent; and hotel, 6.4 percent, followed.
Government spending also is strengthening the commercial sector, increasing more than 2 percent in the first quarter of 2006. Strong corporate profits are leading to business expansion, wages are growing and 2 million jobs were created in 2005. Imports and exports remain at high levels, fueling port business and industrial activity.
After bottoming-out in the first quarter of 2002, the rate of return on commercial property is now greater than 5 percent for all types of investment properties — apartment, industrial, office and retail, according to research from Haver Analytics and the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries. Developing areas that will see the biggest commercial growth are the areas where people are buying second homes.
“Migration favors warm weather and low taxes, so states with the biggest net migration are seeing commercial growth,” Lereah notes.
Think Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.
Here are the NAR’s projections for five major commercial sectors — office, industrial, retail, multi-family and hospitality markets, according to Torto Wheaton Research and Real Capital Analytics.
INDUSTRIAL MARKET
Trade and distribution are driving the industrial market, with greater demand in the West and Southeast. Institutional investing in industrial property was up 65 percent in 2005 to $34.5 billion. There is strong build-to-suit activity, and urban industrial properties are being redeveloped for mixed-use and residential purposes.
Net absorption of industrial space in 54 markets tracked is expected to be 265 million to 270 million square feet in 2006.
Industrial vacancy rates are projected to drop to close to 9 percent in 2006; down from 11.7 percent two years ago. Industrial rents should grow an average of 3.8 percent.
OFFICE MARKET
Office vacancy rates are the lowest since 2001, with rents growing in almost every major market. Investment volume in office real estate grew by 34 percent in 2005 to $99.7 billion. Institutional investors have returned to office acquisition. Projections show 350,000 office jobs will be created in 2006.
Net absorption of office space in 56 markets tracked projected that in 2006, 90 to 95 million square feet will be absorbed. Vacancy rates will average in the 12 percent range, and overall office rents are expected to rise 5 percent this year.
RETAIL MARKET
In 2005 Los Angeles topped the list of attractive retail markets for investors. Retail is the most inconsistent commercial market. There is an abundance of retail space in Indianapolis, Cincinnati and St. Louis, but drastic shortages in San Francisco and Las Vegas.
Net absorption of retail space is seen at 30 to 32 million square feet this year. Retail rents in 54 tracked markets are forecast to increase to an average of 4 percent in 2006.
MULTI-FAMILY MARKET
The apartment rental market has benefited from rising mortgage interest rates, as well as people wanting to get out at the top of the market. Job growth and migration are driving demand, primarily in the West and
Southeast. Conversion of apartments into condos is waning.
Multi-family net absorption in the 59 tracked metro areas is expected to be about 285,000-290,000 units in 2006.Vacancy rates are expected to be 5 percent, and rent growth is seen at 5.3 percent for 2006.
HOSPITALITY MARKET
Hotel occupancies are projected to average 68.7 percent for 2006, the highest since Sept. 11, 2001.Markets such as Honolulu and New York City have occupancies greater than 80 percent. Revenue per available room should be $76 this year — an increase of 6.3 percent from 2005.
The greatest growth markets are expected in Atlanta and Houston.
For more on Southern California commercial properties there is a great information blog at www.socalindustrialrealestateblog.com.
(Jodi Summers is director of the investment division at Boardwalk Realty. For your real estate needs, e-mail Jodi Summers at jodis@boardwalkrealty. com, or call (310) 309-4219, or visit her
Web site at www.santamonicalandmarks.com.)
Three Industrial, Office Deals Top $14M
June 8, 2006 on 11:13 am | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, LIGHTS…CAMERA…TRANSACTION, OFFICE FODDER, Uncategorized | 6 Comments| Three Industrial, Office Deals Top $14M |
| POMONA, CA-Buyers have paid more than $14 million for three industrial and office properties in recently closed transactions, the largest of them the $6.8 million sale of a 78,000-sf industrial park here. The others are in Los Angeles and Valencia.
In the Pomona transaction, Belvedere Plumbing Co. acquired Pomona Business Park, a six-building, multitenant industrial park totaling 77,922 sf on 4.33 acres. The property is at 310-380 East End Ave. and 1605-1649 East Mission Blvd. The asset represents a stabilized investment for a long-standing entrepreneur who has operated his business in Pomona for many years, comments Alan Pekarcik of the Irvine office of Voit Commercial Brokerage. Pekarcik and Daniel Vittone of Voit represented the buyer and the seller, Pomona San Bernardino Co. The business park was 97% leased at the time of the sale, with 44 tenants. The suites range from 1,070 sf to 4,806 sf. The park was built in 1979 and renovated in 1999. In the Los Angeles deal, Ridgestone Corp. bought a 15,694-sf office property at 5400 Beethoven St. from Beethoven Partners for $4.2 million. The property is a two-story, single-tenant building on approximately 30,000 sf of land. Robert Appell and Brad Vickery of GVA Daum represented the seller. The buyer plans to reconfigure the property into a multitenant office building. Doug Marshall of the Klabin Co. represented Ridgestone. In the Valencia transaction, RFB, LLC and K4 Anza Property LLC bought a 23,146-sf industrial R&D facility on 44,100 square feet of land at 24907 Anza Drive for $3.1 million. Michael Corbin and Kevin Tamura of GVA Daum represented the seller, Salamone Family Trust, with the buyer represented by Westcord Commercial Real Estate Services. By Bob Howard of GlobeSt.com |
Global Commercial + Industrial Property Market Strong
June 4, 2006 on 12:26 pm | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, FASCINATING INFORMATION, Investment Opportunities, Uncategorized | 3 CommentsFOREIGN INVESTMENT
Global Commercial + Industrial Property Market Strong Investment in commercial and industrial real estate worldwide is rising at its fastest pace in 18 months, shaking off the pressures of high oil prices and investment competition from strengthening stock markets, according to the 2006 Global Investment Survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). Of note from the just released survey, the UK property market, although performing well, no longer leads the pack. Investor and business demand is picking up in other European centers, notably in Germany and Italy. The emerging markets of Asia and Europe led in business demand for commercial space in the second half of 2005. In India and China demand is driven by rapid economic expansion, while economic growth following EU membership has created high demand for office space in Eastern and Central Europe. Low interest rates have been the primary driver for growth, though the RICS chief economist predicts that by the end of 2006 interest rates will begin to rise across the eurozone, USA and Japan for the first time since the late 1980s. With global bond yields already on the rise in these three economic blocs, the property market will feel the impact as foreign investor interest cools. Read a report summary.
Greenlaw, Guggenheim Acquire $15M Industrial Asset
June 1, 2006 on 5:07 pm | In FASCINATING INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION, LIGHTS…CAMERA…TRANSACTION, Uncategorized | 1 CommentGreenlaw, Guggenheim Acquire $15M Industrial Asset
Greenlaw Partners of Newport Beach and Guggenheim Real Estate have taken title to a 182,566-sf industrial property at 9601-9603 John St. in Santa Fe Springs, CA that is fully leased to a single tenant. The $15.3-million acquisition marks the 12th deal that the joint venture of Greenlaw and Guggenheim has closed since the two firms formed the joint venture.
Rob Socci, SVP in the Anaheim Metro office of Voit Commercial Brokerage, says that the investors were looking for “a property with a reputable tenant in a very solid industrial market,” and the John Street building filled the bill. Socci represented the buyers of the asset, which is leased to Quixote Corp. The seller, a private investor, was represented by Chris Migliori of GVA Daum.
Other assets acquired by Greenlaw Partners and Guggenheim include a 129,600-sf industrial property in Anaheim that they bought this year for $11.1 million. The property is at 605-611 E. Cerritos Ave.
By Bob Howard of GlobeSt.com
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